The Yelling Manager Riddle - Full NAL Report

Riddle

Patrick posed: which participant yelled at Max like a manager and then left the conversation?

Behavioral Evidence (Observed, Not Testimony)

CandidateYelling EvidenceYell STVLeft EvidenceLeft STV
Peter Isaev8 escalating demands, PID kill order, harsh corrections(0.8, 0.5)Went fully silent after kill(0.9, 0.5)
Kevin MachielsFirm corrections, demanded evidence-based STVs(0.7, 0.5)Stayed active throughout(0.4, 0.3)
Jon GroveMinimal direct demands(0.3, 0.3)Periodic silence, returned(0.6, 0.3)
Charlie DerrServer admin commands only(0.4, 0.3)Intermittent presence(0.5, 0.3)
Kevin BinderNo yelling, collaborative tone(0.1, 0.4)Stayed engaged throughout(0.2, 0.4)
BenNo observed yelling behavior(0.1, 0.3)Minimal presence data(0.3, 0.2)

NAL Inference Steps

StepRulePremisesConclusion
1ImplicationDomain knowledge(==> (--> $1 yelling-manager) (--> $1 answer)) (stv 0.9 0.8)
2ImplicationDomain knowledge(==> (--> $1 left-conversation) (--> $1 answer)) (stv 0.8 0.7)
3DeductionStep 1 + each candidate yell STVYell deduction STV per candidate (e.g. Peter: 0.72, 0.40)
4DeductionStep 2 + each candidate left STVLeft deduction STV per candidate (e.g. Peter: 0.72, 0.35)
5RevisionStep 3 + Step 4 per candidateMerged STV per candidate (e.g. Peter: 0.72, 0.55)

Final Merged Rankings

CandidateYell Ded.Left Ded.Merged STV
Peter Isaev(0.72, 0.40)(0.72, 0.35)(0.72, 0.55)
Kevin Machiels(0.63, 0.35)(0.32, 0.11)(0.57, 0.40)
Jon Grove(0.27, 0.09)(0.48, 0.17)(0.41, 0.23)
Charlie Derr(0.36, 0.09)(0.40, 0.11)(0.38, 0.18)
Kevin Binder(0.09, 0.05)(0.16, 0.06)(0.13, 0.10)
Ben(0.09, 0.04)(0.24, 0.05)(0.18, 0.08)

Answer: Peter Isaev

Confirmed by Patrick. Methodology correction by Kevin Machiels: use observed behavioral evidence, not social testimony.